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Showing posts with the label forecasting

Fun futuring excercise

 Exercise Readers try the following fun exercise. List ten items under each of the following categories: Education Job Philosophy or Religious Travel Home These ten items can be anything that you want. No limits. This is an opportunity to think big and not limit yourself. Remember there is no right or wrong.  

Infamous Predictions

  Infamous Predictions In the last thirty years, there have been many predictions on how today would look. Many different technology leaders predicted various aspects of this future. Steve jobs, a leading technologist since the late 1970s, has discussed his future ideas for many years. Three interrelated predictions from a 1996 wired interview revolved around e-commerce and that large companies that are not in tune or attentive will get hurt (Eadicicco & Leswing, 2020, March 12) . The best example of this prediction is the comparison of Amazon with Barnes & Noble, other bookstore retailers, and large box stores. Schmidt (2020, June 28) states that in 1997 Barnes & Noble a $3 billion company launched its website. Two years after Amazon did and as an adjunct to B&N’s retail outlets. Several forecasting techniques use historical data, such as trend extrapolation and product roadmapping, while others use customer surveys. These techniques work well when the cus...

Planning and Forecasting

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  Planning and Forecasting The discussion today revolves around the concepts of forecasting and scenario planning. Attempts at predicting the future have been around for thousands of years. Businesses, governments, and people are concerned about what the future entails and how to prepare for it. All of them use different techniques to predict the future, and we will talk about two of them. Traditional forecasting In traditional forecasting, there is an emphasis on quantitative techniques that use historical data to predict future innovations (Tidd & Bessant, 2020) . Quantitative forecasters use trend extrapolation, regression, econometric modeling or simulations, customer surveys, marketing methods, benchmarking, and Delphi (Tidd & Bessant, 2020) . Scenario development is another forecasting method used to predict future trends. These techniques tend to work well in short-term innovations, especially when the invention is a product or service evolution when the rese...